2026 Fantasy Football Lab is Open for Business
Total Fantasy Football points and even Points per Game can be deceiving. In Fantasy Football, we want to not only know who the hot players are early in the season, but also use metrics to show which players have been productive over a longer period. My rankings utilize four separate indexes that are explained below to give a rating for each player. Let us look at who the leaders of the pack are in Fantasy Football after week nine.
Every week in Fantasy Football, there are three possible outcomes for a player’s statistics. They can help your team win by having a huge points week. They can cause your team to lose with a very low-scoring week. They can keep your team in contention by having a performance above the historic median output. Combining these three outcomes into one easy-to-understand number was the goal of the MVP Index. While the historic median for Fantasy Football points differs by position, using the same expected performance level for RB, WR, and TE gives us a score to compare while making Flex-starting decisions all season.
This index uses the same formula as the MVP Index above, but uses only this season's data. All games played are used to give each player a true value, as if they started every game this year in Fantasy Football.
While consistency matters in Fantasy Football, weekly upside consistency matters even more. The UPSIDE INDEX calculates a player’s best 1/3rd of their games over the past 2 seasons plus the current season. This extended database gives us a better idea of a player’s long-term form, not just the few data points represented by the current season. Each week, the data is weighted more heavily toward the current season.
Quite often in the NFL, a young player will struggle early in their career. While the MVP Index does a solid job of keeping up with the latest player developments, the GOOD Index only counts their best games over the past 2 seasons plus the current season. This index values rookie and second-year players lower because they have fewer total games to post a high GOOD Index, but it rewards players who stay healthy and productive over a longer time frame.
Regular 1-point-per-reception scoring is used, with no TE premium applied. Players get 1 point for every 10 rushing yards and 1 point for every 25 receiving yards. TDs count for 6 points for rushing and 4 points for passing.
15 Point Games Week One: 12
25+ Point Games Week One: 4
MVP26>120: 4 (Median 4)
MVP26>100: 10 (Median 6.5)
MVP26>80: 11 (Median 11.5)
MVP26>60: 18 (Median 16.5)
Joe Burrow (+1) Should be getting more talk as the League MVP
Josh Allen (-1) Big tier break to QB3
Brock Purdy (+3) QB3 to QB6 in a very tight path
Drake Maye (+1) Lousy real NFL game versus GB, but more fantasy football goodness
Jared Goff (-2) Worst game he has had in two seasons, but team still won
Patrick Mahomes (+1) Big tier break to QB7
Dak Prescott (+1) Leads a tight group from QB7 to QB12
Jordan Love (+3) From outside of the Top 15 to inside the Top 8 in just 3 weeks
Matthew Stafford: QB17 when only looking at this season
Jayden Daniels (+5): A Statistical error dropped him last week
Trevor Lawrence (-1): Improved defense and running game cap his upside many weeks
Bo Nix: Big tier break to QB13
Caleb Williams: It ain’t always pretty, but the Ice Man gets the win
CJ Stroud (NEW) Best Fantasy Football game of his career
Tyler Shough (-1) MVP26 is 100 which is good for QB8 right now
10 Point Games Week One: 22
20+ Point Games Week One: 5
Perfect MVP26 Scores After 8 Weeks: 1
MVP26>120: 8 (Median 4.5)
MVP26>100: 16 (Median 12.5)
MVP26>80: 16 (Median 19.5)
MVP26>60: 21 (Median 29)
Jahmyr Gibbs: Now has a clear tier break to RB2
Bijan Robinson (+1): Inconsistent offense sometimes caps his upside
Christian McCaffrey (-1): Big tier break to RB4
James Cook (+2): Over 30 carries for the first time in his career last week
Jonathan Taylor: No trade, so JT is back to working with a below-average offense
Derrick Henry (+1): Only thing keeping the Ravens going right now
Josh Jacobs (-3) Will be dropping off chart next week due to injury
Kyren Williams: 50/50-time share with Corum
Ken Walker: RB3 this season, rated by MVP26 Index
Bucky Irving (+2): Back to his rookie form, needs Baker to return to form
Chase Brown: Only 19th best in MVP26 right now with a 62 rating
Chubba Hubbard (+1) RB4 in MVP26 right now
Javonte Williams (+3) Turning in another solid season
D’Andre Swift (-4) Tough defense shut him down last week
Saquon Barkley: MVP26 index of 9 at the midpoint of the season
Ashton Jeanty (-2) Interesting to see what a change in QB does for this offense
Breece Hall (+1) Returned from injury to a time-share situation
Jaylen Warren (+2) RB9 in MVP26 right now
Rhamondre Stevenson (+2) will miss some time with an injury
Bhayshul Tuten (-3) MVP26 Index of 100 right now
Alvin Kamara (-2) Uncertain volume is a concern for Fantasy Football lineups right now.
Cam Skattebo (+2) Should return healthy for TNF.
Tony Pollard: Should continue to get the volume needed to be Top 15 most weeks
David Montgomery (+1) Could return from injury soon
Rico Dowdle (+2) Inconsistent volume going forward if Warren stays healthy
Aaron Jones: MVP26 Index of only 37 right now
Quinshon Judkins (+1) Losing some volume to Dylan Sampson
Kyle Monangai (+1) Bears need him back after their Bye week
Jonah Coleman (+4) Emerging as the RB1 in Denver
Zach Charbonnett (+2) Playing his way into shape
Rachaad White: Should get the needed volume to be Fantasy Football viable
Ollie Gordon (NEW): Should continue to get the needed volume
Blake Corum (NEW) Getting enough volume to play them both
Braelon Allen (NEW) Should lose volume to Breece Lightning
Jordan Mason: Change of QB cannot hurt
10 Point Games Week One: 36
20+ Point Games Week One: 9
MVP26>120: 8 (Median 4.5)
MVP26>100: 14 (Median 10.5)
MVP26>80: 16 (Median 21.5)
MVP26>60: 27 (Median 31)
Puka Nacua: Could be headed to IR and off this list for a while
Jaxson Smith Njigba: Half-tier break to WR3 now
Amon Ra St Brown: Looks like he avoided injury for now
Ja’Marr Chase: Leads Upside Index by 2 whole points, which is huge
Cee Dee Lamb: Big tier break to WR6
Tee Higgins: Career-best MVP Index right now
Nico Collins (+2) leads a tight group from WR7 to WR10
Zay Flowers: Should get an improvement at QB this week
Malik Nabers (-2) MVP Index of 100 with McCarthy at QB
Chris Olave: Addition of another playmaker should keep defenses honest
Mike Evans: Trade for a WR might be a bad sign for his health
Drake London (+2) MVP26 of only 67 WR28 level
George Pickens (-1) Survived the trade deadline
Justin Jefferson (-1) Gets his old QB back this week
Garret Wilson (+1) Should return to action this week
DeVonta Smith (-1) Has he shown up on milk cartons in the Philadelphia area yet?
Jameson Williams: MVP26 of only 62 right now
Christian Watson (+2) Amazing to see 2 GB WRs with an MVP Index over 120
DJ Moore (-1) Buffalo needs him healthy
Stefon Diggs (-1) Offense should be more consistent from week to week
Matthew Golden (+3) Classic example of why you do not give up on underperforming rookies
AJ Brown: Lost season, and at his age, he cannot afford those
Rashee Rice (-2) MVP26 of only 33 right now
Tetairoa McMillan (-1) Dynamic playmaker subject to his QB’s ups and downs
Luther Burden (+3) Heads into the Bye week as the Bears’ best playmaker
Mike Wilson: Last week on this chart after a neck injury
Terry McLaurin: This offense is much better with Scary Terry
Ladd McConkey (-3) MVP26 of 0 right now
DK Metcalf: Round peg in a square offense
Wan Dale Robinson: Rookie should come back to steal volume this week
Deebo Samuel (+1): Will he return this week?
Jakobi Meyers (+2) MVP26 of only 25 right now
Parker Washington: The best WR on a team that spreads the volume around
Khalil Shakir (-3) MVP26 of only 37 right now
Courtland Sutton (+4) Had his best week of the season
Emeka Egbuka (-1) Has not looked as dynamic since the injury again this season
Omar Cooper (-1): Subject to the rookie ups and downs
Keenan Allen: Do the 49ers get a discount on travel from AARP for their WR Room?
Brian Thomas (-2): Why didn’t they trade him?
Tank Dell (NEW): Great to see him back in action after almost 2 years
10 Point Games Week One: 12
20+ Point Games Week One: 2
MVP26>120: 2 (Median 1)
MVP26>100: 2 (Median 1.5)
MVP26>80: 2 (Median 2.5)
MVP26>60: 6 (Median 4)
Trey McBride: Uncertain QB situation going forward
Brock Bowers: Will the rookie QB continue to feed him?
George Kittle: MVP26 of 62
Travis Kelce: Big tier break to TE5
Dallas Goedert: Eagles offense is grounded right now due to QB play
Harold Fannin: Six good games and three awful games
Sam LaPorta: MVP26 of only 37
Tucker Kraft: Emergence of Golden has dropped his weekly volume
Hunter Henry (+1): Playing through injury right now
Tyler Warren (-1) TE4 this season in MVP26
Juwan Johnson: Came back from Bye week in better form
Dallen Waller (NEW): Has been a very streaky player this season
Isiah Likely (NEW) Overall MVP Index back to zero, MVP26 of 75
Dalton Kincaid (-2) Four solid games and four awful games
Kyle Pitts (-2) Three solid games and five awful games
The NFL season is half over, and injuries continue to have major impacts. The trading deadline is past, and only a few fantasy football-significant players have changed teams. Keenan Allen could be a great addition if Evans and Deebo keep missing time. Kirk Cousins must improve the offense in Minnesota.
My favorite strategy this draft season was to draft an elite WR in the first round, and that is paying off big time so far this year. Ratings are settling in, especially at WR and TE, where the top 8 stayed the same again this week. Good luck in Week 10.