2026 Fantasy Football Lab is Open for Business
Notes
15 games. Kansas City and Carolina are on a bye.
Biggest favorite is Dallas -10 on Thursday night. Next is Cincinnati -7.5 at Miami. Highest totals are Lions–Cardinals and Bills–Rams, both 53.5. Lowest total is Texans–Titans at 39.5.
Philadelphia vs. Jacksonville is at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and is marked Neutral. Six favorites are on the road: Bears, Bengals, Texans, Vikings, Broncos, Ravens.
Projected score is (total ± |spread|) / 2. Win probability uses z = (|spread| + 0.35) / 6.8, then a logistic. Moneyline implied probabilities are raw (vig not removed), so the two sides do not sum to 100%.
Books are not identical. ESPN was showing Jets -1.5, Bengals -7, Lions -4.5, and Seahawks -2.5 at the same time DraftKings had those games a half-point wider. FOX/bet365 had the Cowboys at -9.5 and the Bears at -1.5.