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Bin distribution (14 games):
Above 47: 5 games
42–47: 6 games
Below 42: 3 games
Notable high-total games (Above 47 bin → historical WR1 ~88.9 / WR2 ~48.2 / TE1 ~45.4):
GB @ DET (53.5) — highest total of the week
CIN @ BAL (51.0)
NE @ CHI (50.5)
SF @ ATL (49.5) and LAR @ LV (48.5) also sit in this bin
Low-total games (Below 42 → WR1 ~73.1 / WR2 ~38.1 / TE1 ~35.6): CLE @ TEN (37.5), MIA @ NYJ (39.0), IND @ MIN (41.5).
Methodology recap (consistent with prior analyses):
Historical averages computed from NFLVRSE regular-season data 2016–2025 (games.csv total_line + stats_player_week).
WR1/WR2 = top two WRs by receiving yards per team-game; TE1 = top TE.
Bins: Below 42 / 42–47 / Above 47.
Current-week forecasts apply the matching bin average (consensus totals from FantasyData as of Oct 21, 2026).
Forecasts are team-role baselines only (not player-specific) and do not account for usage, matchups, or injuries. Pair with depth charts and defensive rankings for final decisions.