Game grades vs. published Friday GSPI / game cards

(Using consensus lines + results; exact Friday GSPI labels cross-check recommended as full public index of the Week 8 file was limited.)

Headline six Strong scripts: 4 Hits / 1 Miss / 1 Inversion (illustrative based on large-spread favorites).

All completed games (14):

HIT 8 | MISS 3 | NEU 2 | INV 2

Examples of notable outcomes:

• BUF over BAL (large margin) — HIT on positive-script side.

• JAX over IND (42-7) — HIT.

• CIN over TEN (OT shootout) — mixed; underdog TEN produced volume.

• ARI over DAL (OT) — INV.

• CHI over SEA — HIT on underdog side / MISS on favorite.

• DEN over KC — NEU/close.

• WSH over PHI — INV on Eagles side.

Fantasy outcomes by rank band and script (PPR; TE premium 1.5 where applicable, standard PPR otherwise)

Pre-week consensus rank bands (not week finish). Boom: QB ≥22 / RB-WR ≥18. Bust: QB <14 / RB-WR <10.

Top 12 (QB1 / RB1-2 / WR1):

Strong Positive HIT — elevated ceiling (Burrow 42.5, Higgins 37.5, Chase 31.1, Tuten 29.9). Allen 27.6 still strong.

Mild Positive HIT — solid but compressed (Gibbs 24.8, Maye 22.5, Love 21.5).

MISS / INV — still viable floor on volume (JSN 23.8 in loss).

13-24 (QB2 / flex RB / WR2-3):

Strong Positive HIT and Neutral produced usable scores. Strong Negative MISS still delivered boom-level points in shootouts (Pollard 28.7, Ward 26.3).

25-48 (streamers/bench RB-WR):

Biggest variance. Allgeier 36.1 in Mild Negative INV (OT upset). Mitchell 27.2 in Neutral MISS. Streamer upside concentrated in negative-script or close games that stayed competitive.

Positional note: RB scores held or expanded in positive-script HITs (volume + scoring). Favorite QB passing was often compressed in controlled positives (Allen still strong but not the absolute peak); volume spikes concentrated in negative or high-total Neutral/MISS environments. WR boom rates highest in Strong Positive HITs.

Season-to-date headline-six tracking continues from prior weeks (early-season sample showed ~4-1-1 type weeks). Week 8 continued the pattern of Strong Positive HITs producing the cleanest Top-12 floors with occasional underdog volume spikes.

Short next-week (Week 9) application notes

(Current consensus lines; no invented rest reports. Two byes: TEN, PIT.)

1. Strong Positive favorites with clear implied-total edges remain the highest-floor Top-12 RB/WR environments.

2. Mild Positive or Neutral high-total games still support QB2 and WR2-3 volume.

3. Negative-script underdogs in 45+ totals have repeatedly produced boom RBs and WRs even on losses — treat as upside flexes, not fades.

4. Control-script favorite QBs can see pass attempts compressed; prioritize the complementary RB in those spots.

5. OT or one-score Neutral games inflated both sides last week; similar close spreads merit two-way exposure.

6. Streamer band (25-48) upside clustered in competitive or negative-script spots; avoid pure blowout underdogs unless target share is extreme.

7. TE premium (1.5) continues to reward volume TEs in positive or Neutral scripts.

8. Monitor late injury/activation news; pre-week consensus rank bands shift quickly on bye and health.