Quick Weekly Streaming Notes (Easiest Vs Hardest Matchups)

Week 9 Summary

Quick Weekly Streaming Notes (Easiest Matchups)

• EASY Offenses Overall: DET, DAL, WAS, LV, TEN, NO, CIN, BUF

• EASY QB Streaming: DET, ARI, WAS, DAL, CHI, CIN, LV, NYG

• EASY RB-PPR Streaming: NO, DAL, CAR, BUF, MIA, ATL, IND, LV

• EASY WR-PPR Streaming: TEN, DET, BUF, JAX, DAL, PHI, LV, HOU

• EASY TE-PPR Streaming: DET, WAS, KC, CIN, LV, ARI, CAR, CLE

• EASY K Streaming: IND, LAR, PIT, SF, TEN, WAS, PHI, LV

• EASY DST Streaming: LAC, ATL, NYG, TEN, CLE, SEA, BAL, IND

Highest favorite rush tilts are CIN/DAL/DET (1.71), HOU/NE (1.80). 

The sharpest favorite pass tilt is SEA vs ARI (0.27).

Week 9 Favorite Rush and Pass Tilts

Rush Pass Ratio = RB DAP NUM ÷ average(QB, WR, TE DAP NUM).

Higher = rush tilt (softer to RBs relative to the passing game). Lower = pass tilt.

Strongest Favorite Rush Tilts (RPR ≥ 1.5)

Favorite

Opponent

RPR

Matchup Note

HOU

LAC

1.80

LAC Above Average RB, Tough QB/TE

NE

GB

1.80

GB Above Average RB, Tough QB/WR

CIN

ATL

1.71

ATL EASY RB, Below Average QB

DAL

IND

1.71

IND EASY RB, Tough WR

DET

MIA

1.71

MIA EASY RB, Tough WR

Strongest Favorite Pass Tilts (RPR ≤ 0.75)

Favorite

Opponent

RPR

Matchup Note

SEA

ARI

0.27

ARI Tough RB, EASY QB/TE

JAX

BAL

0.67

BAL Below Average RB, Above Average pass

NO

CLE

0.75

CLE Below Average RB, EASY TE

NYG

PHI

0.75

PHI Below Average RB, EASY WR

CHI

TB

0.75

TB Tough RB/QB/WR

Full Favorite RPR List (sorted high → low)

• HOU vs LAC — 1.80

• NE vs GB — 1.80

• CIN vs ATL — 1.71

• DAL vs IND — 1.71

• DET vs MIA — 1.71

• DEN vs CAR — 1.33

• KC vs NYJ — 1.29

• SF vs LV — 1.00

• BUF vs MIN — 1.00

• LAR vs WAS — 0.90

• NO vs CLE — 0.75

• NYG vs PHI — 0.75

• CHI vs TB — 0.75

• JAX vs BAL — 0.67

• SEA vs ARI — 0.27

Takeaways

• Biggest rush-friendly favorites: HOU, NE, CIN, DAL, DET.

• Sharpest pass-friendly favorite: SEA (vs ARI’s Tough RB / EASY pass shell).

• Balanced favorites: SF and BUF (RPR = 1.00).

Week 9 Hardest Matchups (Tough DAPs)

Tough = the 8 defenses allowing the fewest Full PPR points at that position.

Toughest Overall Offenses

MIN, SEA, TB, LAC, LAR, NE, GB, NYG

Toughest by Position

Position

Toughest Defenses

QB

MIN, SEA, TB, LAC, PIT, GB, NE, JAX

RB-PPR

TB, MIN, ARI, NE, LAR, JAX, SEA, BAL

WR-PPR

MIN, TB, SEA, MIA, NYG, NYJ, IND, DEN

TE-PPR

LAC, LAR, MIN, SEA, GB, HOU, NE, JAX

K

DET, GB, CHI, NYG, MIN, JAX, SEA, BUF

DST

DET, DEN, DAL, KC, JAX, LV, SF, HOU

Hardest Favorite Matchups This Week

Favorite

Opponent

Why It’s Tough

BUF

MIN

MIN is Tough to the offense: QB, RB, WR, and TE

CHI

TB

TB is Tough to the offense: QB, RB, and WR

SEA

ARI

ARI is Tough to RBs (pass shell is soft, run shell is not)

SF

LV

LV is EASY across the board — not hard

DET

MIA

MIA is Tough to WRs

HOU

LAC

LAC is Tough to QB and TE

NE

GB

GB is Tough to QB and WR

Bottom line: MIN and TB are the two hardest shells on the slate. BUF (vs MIN) and CHI (vs TB) face the toughest overall environments. SEA faces the toughest pure RB shell.