2026 Fantasy Football Lab is Open for Business
Data through Week 8 (final game Mon Nov 2, 2026, CHI 34 @ SEA 17). Standard PPR, 4 pts per pass TD, -2 INT, 0.04/pass yd, 0.1/rush+rec yd, 6/rush-rec TD, 1/rec, -2/fumble lost. Byes excluded; international games counted as neutral. Relief appearances count as games played and are flagged.
Projected window AVG is an estimate, not a forecast: home/away AVGs are shrunk toward overall AVG (k=3 games), then averaged across Weeks 9-14 non-bye games (neutral uses overall). Sources: nflverse stats_player_week_2026 (matched nflverse fantasy_points_ppr on all 277 QB games), ESPN box scores, AP/NFL.com/NBC/CBS/USA Today for QB status.
Home-boosted: Lawrence +12.1, Penix +11.0, Purdy +10.1, Maye +5.8, J. Daniels +5.8. Better on the road: Shough -11.0, Goff -10.7, Darnold -8.6, Murray -7.9, C. Williams -7.7. Favorable W9-W14: Maye (3 home, Munich neutral, est. 20.9 vs 20.1), Stafford (17.1 vs 16.5), Prescott (3 home, 18.8 vs 18.5), Purdy (3 home + Mexico City), Allen highest window est. at 27.1.
Caveats: left-early flags come from in-game QB play counts; only some reasons are confirmed by news
(Brissett W8 benched, Lamar W8 thumb, Huntley W8 toe, Dart W2 knee, Winston W6 benched, Mayfield W3 thumb).
Tiny relief games can drag averages (e.g., McCarthy W5, 2 plays, 0.2 pts).
Backups listed with schedule "(TEAM)" share the starter's schedule shown on that team's starter row.
Green/red delta = |delta| ≥ 5 with at least 2 games each side.