Discussion of QB in the Descion Hygiene Format - See Articles Pre Morteums of Positions

QB in 1QB leagues rewards waiting (massive depth), but rushing QBs dominate upside. Slow drafts let you Bayesian-update on QB situations and TE target shares.

QB Hygiene Scorecard Tables see articles 

Deeper Pre-Mortems & Bayesian Insights

Later QBs (Bryce Young, Cam Ward, etc.): High variance; Bayesian updates on landing spots critical.

Josh Allen / Mobile QBs: Pre-mortem — Sack-heavy style leads to injury or efficiency regression. Rushing floor buffers noise.

Pocket QBs: Pre-mortem — Poor OL/weapons or coaching changes tank production. Slower Bayesian updates needed on camp evidence.

QB play, age, and injury. Hygiene (decomposition + pre-mortems + Bayesian updates) is crucial here to avoid overpaying for boom/bust profiles. 

Slow-Draft Strategy:

• • QB: In 1QB, wait until late (value abundant). In Superflex, prioritize top rushing upside.

•   Slow drafts let you monitor camp/OTAs for evidence adjustments.

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Deeper Pre-Mortems & Bayesian Insights (QB Mid-Tier):

Mahomes / Prescott: Pre-mortem — Age or supporting cast decline leads to lower efficiency. Update priors downward on any negative camp news.

Williams / Murray: Pre-mortem — Adjustment issues or injury-prone style cap production. 

Bayesian: Weight rushing/athleticism evidence heavily.

Stroud / Mayfield: Pre-mortem — Weapons/OL regression tanks output. Stronger priors make them safer late picks.

QB (1QB): Wait until rounds 10+ — massive depth. Hygiene prevents reaching the name value.

Superflex: Prioritize top rushing QBs much earlier.